Monday, October 27, 2008

Yes on Question One

It is not just the people who took out "liar loans" and ran up five figures of credit card debt who have been living beyond their means. Question 1 is the best chance Massachusetts voters have to send a message to a legislature that seems structurally beyond repair.

The MBTA spends upwards of $250,000,000 per year servicing some $8 billion of debt, even as it continues to build and subsidize highly unprofitable lines. And it is hardly alone.

Here and elsewhere, state workers are guaranteed retirement benefits that would not disappoint the CEO of AIG or Lehman Brothers. Like private pensions, state employees contribute to plans which are invested in the hopes of generating sufficient returns to pay out the necessary benefits. Unlike private pensions, state employees often have a legal guarantee that the difference will be paid out from the state's general fund. These plans are understandably popular with employees, including the elected and appointed officials who set the rules. They are also chronically underfunded--a secondary concern given their right to claw money out of the general fund.

A view of the world to come can be seen in General Motors, which for decades provided a similar standard of guarantee to its employees. Today, GM spends an estimated $15,000 annually per current employee providing benefits to retired ones. It is more instructive to think of GM as a human services agency than a manufacturer of automobiles. They are being forced to delay the introduction of a new line of smaller cars in order to conserve cash--a choice between suicide today and metastatic cancer tomorrow.

In similar fashion, we may not be far off from the day that taxpayers are spending more to pay retired cops and teachers than we are paying ones currently employed. The recent dive in the markets does little to improve the situation, and accounting controls for many state pension funds make Enron look good by comparison.

Naturally, the most vocal opponents of Question 1 are the public-sector unions, and they have spent lavishly to oppose it, claiming it poses an existential threat to critical services in the Commonwealth. In fact the greatest long-term structural threats are runaway spending and guarantees of gold-plated, tax-backed benefits.

Question 1 could be called an extreme approach. Certainly, cutting off all income tax payments at the same time as the state was likely to get hit by significantly lower tax receipts across the board could lead to some difficult choices. But given the General Court's extreme disregard for the will of the voters, a "Yes" vote on Question 1 is the best opportunity voters have in this election to send a message. While Sal DiMasi has made clear that he would do everything in his power to quash a successful initiative, it would still provide a resounding wakeup call. Spending must be contained and ultimately reduced, lest today's profligate ways lead to an even-worse unraveling in the years to come.

2 Comments:

Blogger John Mc said...

The T wasn't made to make money or break even. EVERY line loses money - because it wasn't designed TO make money. it's just an easy target. I could turn around and say "when is i-93 going to make money after investing all those billions into it'. (but I agree, the state could manage our tax money a heck of a lot better)

October 27, 2008 3:43 PM  
Blogger The Snob said...

Well, the Masspike paid off its original bonds back in the 90s, if I recall correctly. I believe something around 30% of the tolls collected nowadays goes solely towards the upkeep of tollbooths and the people who work in them.

I'm not rigidly opposed to subsidizing public goods, but at the same time there need to be limits. The T carries an astonishing debt load (highest in the country) and continues to be run as a jobs program more than a public service.

The T's inefficiencies and bad decisions are among the largest reasons why service is so poor in so many places. At the very least they should be delaying things which will add to operating losses (like the Green Line extension through Somerville) until other parts of the system are brought under better control.

October 27, 2008 4:24 PM  

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